There are 7.1 billion people on Earth. Coincidentally there are also 7 billion mobile connections. Those connections are held by 3.45 billion unique mobile subscribers.1 Unsurprisingly, the largest national mobile markets (by number of subscriptions) correspond closely to the most populous nations.
Considering smartphones, last year 1 billion smartphones were sold and the number of smartphones in use is about 2 billion2
Given the rapid adoption of smartphones, it’s also safe to assume that smartphone penetration will follow population distribution. In the US, where comScore data is published monthly, penetration is following a predictable logistic curve.
Assuming similar patterns world-wide we can forecast regional smartphone penetration. 
This yields the following forecast for smartphone usage world-wide. Continue reading “Postmodern computing”