Author: Horace Dediu

The Covid-19 case rates for 49 selected US States or Territories including deaths/day data. Note that the two curves are not for the same dates but are offset in time to start from 30 cases/day over a 7 day average and 5 deaths/day over a 7 day average

Color coding: 

• Green: Late Stage (>50% post-peak)
• Blue: Middle-Late Stage (~50% post-peak)
• Orange: Middle-Early Stage (peaked)
• Pink: Early Stage [or indeterminate] (pre-peak)

US States data is sourced from The New York Times.

The Covid-19 case rate for 99 selected countries and the EU. Apple Mobility Trend for 55 countries.

Background color coding: 

• Green: Late Stage (>50% post-peak)
• Blue: Middle-Late Stage (~50% post-peak)
• Orange: Middle-Early Stage (peaked)
• Pink: Early Stage [or indeterminate] (pre-peak)

Sources: Cases data from European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) via Our World In Data. Mobility data is sourced from Apple Mobility Trends which tracks change in Apple Maps routing requests.

The Covid-19 case rate for 99 selected countries and the EU. Apple Mobility Trend for 55 countries.

Background color coding: 

• Green: Late Stage (>50% post-peak)
• Blue: Middle-Late Stage (~50% post-peak)
• Orange: Middle-Early Stage (peaked)
• Pink: Early Stage [or indeterminate] (pre-peak)

Sources: Cases data from European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) via Our World In Data. Mobility data is sourced from Apple Mobility Trends which tracks change in Apple Maps routing requests.

Join me for #AsymcoFridayNight a discussion of the methodology of predicting Covid-19 infection rates and the Apple financial report for Q1 2020.

Here are the links to sign up:

Buy Ticket ($20)

Click if you can’t afford $20

The Covid-19 case rates for 49 selected US States or Territories.

Color coding: 

• Green: Late Stage (>50% post-peak)
• Blue: Middle-Late Stage (~50% post-peak)
• Orange: Middle-Early Stage (peaked)
• Pink: Early Stage [or indeterminate] (pre-peak)

US States data is sourced from The New York Times.

Join me for #AsymcoFridayNight a discussion of the methodology of predicting Covid-19 infection rates and the Apple financial report for Q1 2020.

Here are the links to sign up:

Buy Ticket ($20)

Click if you can’t afford $20

The Covid-19 case rate for 99 selected countries and the EU. Apple Mobility Trend for 55 countries.

Background color coding: 

• Green: Late Stage (>50% post-peak)
• Blue: Middle-Late Stage (~50% post-peak)
• Orange: Middle-Early Stage (peaked)
• Pink: Early Stage [or indeterminate] (pre-peak)

Sources: Cases data from European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) via Our World In Data. Mobility data is sourced from Apple Mobility Trends which tracks change in Apple Maps routing requests.

Join me for #AsymcoFridayNight a discussion of the methodology of predicting Covid-19 infection rates and the Apple financial report for Q1 2020.

Here are the links to sign up:

Buy Ticket ($20)

Click if you can’t afford $20

The Covid-19 case rate for 99 selected countries and the EU. Apple Mobility Trend for 55 countries.

Background color coding: 

• Green: Late Stage (>50% post-peak)
• Blue: Middle-Late Stage (~50% post-peak)
• Orange: Middle-Early Stage (peaked)
• Pink: Early Stage [or indeterminate] (pre-peak)

The Covid-19 case rate for 94 selected countries and the EU. Apple Mobility Trend for 55 countries.

Background color coding: 

• Green: Late Stage (>50% post-peak)
• Blue: Middle-Late Stage (~50% post-peak)
• Orange: Middle-Early Stage (peaked)
• Pink: Early Stage [or indeterminate] (pre-peak)

19% of countries are currently Pink.

Sources: Cases data from European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) via Our World In Data. Mobility data is sourced from Apple Mobility Trends which tracks change in Apple Maps routing requests.

The Covid-19 case rate for 94 selected countries and the EU. Apple Mobility Trend for 55 countries.

Background color coding: 

• Green: Late Stage (>50% post-peak)
• Blue: Middle-Late Stage (~50% post-peak)
• Orange: Middle-Early Stage (peaked)
• Pink: Early Stage [or indeterminate] (pre-peak)

22% of countries are currently Pink.

Sources: Cases data from European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) via Our World In Data. Mobility data is sourced from Apple Mobility Trends which tracks change in Apple Maps routing requests.

The Covid-19 case rate for 94 selected countries and the EU. Apple Mobility Trend for 55 countries.

Background color coding: 

• Green: Late Stage (>50% post-peak)
• Blue: Middle-Late Stage (~50% post-peak)
• Orange: Middle-Early Stage (peaked)
• Pink: Early Stage [or indeterminate] (pre-peak)

Sources: Cases data from European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) via Our World In Data. Mobility data is sourced from Apple Mobility Trends which tracks change in Apple Maps routing requests.

The Covid-19 case rates for 49 selected US States or Territories.

Color coding: 

• Green: Late Stage (>50% post-peak)
• Blue: Middle-Late Stage (~50% post-peak)
• Orange: Middle-Early Stage (peaked)
• Pink: Early Stage [or indeterminate] (pre-peak)

US States data is sourced from US CDC via The New York Times.